Sunday Thematic: Chevron’s Caviar Inflection

By Paul Sankey Published on March 9, 2025 at 4:43 PM

With the violent markets and noise, we are reluctant to chase the puck week-by-week, and so we step back almost entirely into a long term thematic: Chevron Tengizchevroil, and a really positive view of Chevron here. That thematic is linked as a pdf just below, hope you enjoy. The key section is highlighted in the contents under the imaginative title “Key Section”. Essentially, the genesis & core of this note was Greg Bordelon going back …

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OPEC Increase Tape Bomb; “Storage, Baby, Storage”

By Paul Sankey Published on March 3, 2025 at 9:01 PM

Obvious first take is that the order came down from on high: Trump says “increase oil production” and MBS (Saudi Arabia) and Putin (Russia), the baseload of OPEC+, decide to increase production. Simple. Thus it was announced in an an official OPEC+ Press Release this afternoon that tape-bombed the oil market (wider market already plummeting), “OPEC to increase production into an over-supplied market”, with the mood on Wall Street in full “sell them all” mode. …

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Last Call: Valero CEO Lane Riggs and team now 10:30am ET Zoom

By Paul Sankey Published on February 13, 2025 at 9:35 AM

Super-timely call coming up given Valero’s status as the largest importer of Russian oil pre-Ukraine invasion.  Biggest Mexican crude importer.  #2 behind PSX on Canada heavy oil. Major potential Venezuelan importer. Major former Saudi importer.   Today/now Thursday 13th February 10:30am ET: Valero CEO Lane Riggs, CFO Jason Fraser, COO Gary Simmons, IR Homer Bhullar Registration Link – https://sankeyresearch.com/conference/sankey-refining-conference-valero-interest-form/ You cannot consider the current geopolitical landscape without knowing this chart of US oil imports from Saudi.   Source: Bloomberg …

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