By Paul Sankey
Published on July 9, 2024 at 9:27 AM
Devon buys GME! Gamestop? No, Grayson Mills Energy. To be clear, we like Devon management, we don’t like their strategy. We laid out a carefully considered roadmap for Devon in our February 11th note: “Stop! Unleash the FANG Within” whereby Devon should essentially dispose of everything outside the Permian, focus on its decent Permian position (the FANG within), and massively buy back stock, driving the multiple higher. That would leave them in the position to …
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By Paul Sankey
Published on June 1, 2024 at 12:27 PM
“That must mean we’re up here at Gobbler’s Knob, waiting for the forecast from the world’s most famous weatherman, Punxsutawney Phil.” Phil Connors (Bill Murray), Groundhog Day (1993) We are back to writing about E&P M&A … again. Our conclusions are broadly unchanged: Big companies are being incentivized by the market to take over the small, but with an evolution on the margin that finds asset quality now of equal importance to valuation; we are …
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By Paul Sankey
Published on May 29, 2024 at 7:55 AM
First thought is not only Devon, as always the bridesmaid, but ever the bridesmaid to ConocoPhillips, who trumped them for Shell’s Permian asset package (~$9bn) and now announces the takeover of Marathon Oil. Devon was seen as in pole position to take over MRO; these are multi-basin deals and the best first for MRO were COP or Devon. Second thought, good news to get a decent premium back in oil deals. “It shows a decent …
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