Morning Bits and Bobs

By Paul Sankey Published on April 17, 2024 at 10:41 AM

Today’s note is just bits and bobs: In the oil space, we are at 75% of peak media attention. Any higher, is generally a sell signal, but we are not quite there yet. It takes $100/bbl+ or $4.50/gallon nationwide pump price for me to get the call from the Mitch Albom Show which is peak USA Today territory. Mitch has sold 40m books (The Five People You Meet in Heaven etc) and runs a conservative …

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CERA Week – the best XOM vs CVX-HES Guyana theory.

By Paul Sankey Published on March 20, 2024 at 8:55 AM

CERA Week key interest – certainly among the gaggle of merger arbitrage clients that attended this week – was for Chevron, Hess, and ExxonMobil, not least with XOM suddenly releasing a Guyana exploration 8K after the market Friday into the conference open, where Day 1 the star plenary speaker was ExxonMobil CEO Darren Woods. He said a lot, directly pertaining to Guyana, so the 8K was clearly related. One key line was “we are not …

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Morning Comstock: Thelma, the Black Knight, & Forrest, bearish natgas

By Paul Sankey Published on February 15, 2024 at 10:03 AM

The market whisper is that natgas is heading to break the buck (<$1/mmbtu Henry Hub). Time to buy natgas? We are not switching stance until Comstock capitulates.  The company reported results and held its conference call yesterday. ~ ExxonMobil: the company risks Maduro vs Guyana as 1:10 risk where one is low. Clients are asking about Chevron’s delayed proxy too. CVX say the S-4 will be issued this quarter and “nothing recently in the news …

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