By Paul Sankey
Published on April 12, 2026 at 8:24 PM
Good day, Yesterday I found myself transported into a personal Gulf War moment. I was examining the extensive damage to my large air condenser unit, a major, brand new piece of infrastructure, just two years old. It had been hit directly from above by a 700lb incoming projectile. Direct hit to the top, wrecked. I had a flash the Qatar desert, considering engineers inspecting damage, must feel like this. The unit was obviously a write …
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By Paul Sankey
Published on April 9, 2026 at 1:18 PM
Greetings, Today, very shortly, 4pm Zoom Michelle Brouhard, Head of Policy & Geopolitical Risk at Kpler [global leading satellite/data intelligence focused on commodity markets]. A former oil trader and hedge fund player, Michelle is an expert in global oil balances, working for the premium oil flow intelligence player, Kpler. Register here: https://sankeyresearch.com/conference/sankey-strategy-session-michelle-brouhard-head-of-policy-geopolitical-risk-at-kpler-interest-form/ ~ 1. The problem: refinery capacity and ships, not crude supply My thoughts have been occupied with the global refining and oil product …
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By Paul Sankey
Published on April 8, 2026 at 1:08 PM
Greetings, Again, we have just the person for the job. Kpler. Michelle Brouhard on Happy Hour tomorrow. In this note we take a quick look at what will be horrible reported Q1 numbers from the major oils, driven by timing effects rather than underlying business performance, although both Shell and ExxonMobil who put out guidance today, have direct, major, costly damage in the Gulf from Iranian attacks on Qatar. Particularly, Shell CEO Wael Sawan described …
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