By Paul Sankey
Published on August 1, 2026 at 3:37 PM
Illustrated below, Hormuz flows split crude oil vs products. We note the extent to which the war has interrupted oil product supplies globally, especially to Asia and Europe. Source: Kpler, Sankey Research, Claude The market tends to focus on the crude oil impact, but in reality it is gasoline trading at $150/bbl wholesale, not crude at $90/bbl. We did not quite get the celebrated $250/bbl, but Asian jet fuel hit $240.50/bbl on 4 March — …
Read More
By Paul Sankey
Published on April 12, 2026 at 8:24 PM
Good day, Yesterday I found myself transported into a personal Gulf War moment. I was examining the extensive damage to my large air condenser unit, a major, brand new piece of infrastructure, just two years old. It had been hit directly from above by a 700lb incoming projectile. Direct hit to the top, wrecked. I had a flash the Qatar desert, considering engineers inspecting damage, must feel like this. The unit was obviously a write …
Read More
By Paul Sankey
Published on April 9, 2026 at 1:18 PM
Greetings, Today, very shortly, 4pm Zoom Michelle Brouhard, Head of Policy & Geopolitical Risk at Kpler [global leading satellite/data intelligence focused on commodity markets]. A former oil trader and hedge fund player, Michelle is an expert in global oil balances, working for the premium oil flow intelligence player, Kpler. Register here: https://sankeyresearch.com/conference/sankey-strategy-session-michelle-brouhard-head-of-policy-geopolitical-risk-at-kpler-interest-form/ ~ 1. The problem: refinery capacity and ships, not crude supply My thoughts have been occupied with the global refining and oil product …
Read More
