Hormuz Crisis Series: European Jets Jets Jets

By Paul Sankey Published on April 18, 2026 at 4:37 PM

Last week, having satisfied my curiosity on Taiwan and Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) — which basically concluded that TSMC will keep getting cheap reliable subsidized government electricity even if it means Mrs Cheng has no aircon. That is globally important; AI is the counter theme to Hormuz and after TSMC’s earnings call, we concluded they are good to go for another quarter of crisis, so relatively very comfortable. Nothing it at all comfortable right now in …

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Sunday Gulf War III Week 2 – Tanker Passage, What Tanker Passage?

By Paul Sankey Published on March 8, 2026 at 7:56 PM

Well, that was quite a week. And there it is, oil through $100/bbl on the Tokyo open. It is blatantly clear that the Trump Administration had zero, nada, nothing, as contingency plan for Iran declaring the Strait of Hormuz shut to transit. Even now, their $20bn insurance knee jerk response has been completely ineffective. We are facing the largest overall oil & gas volume outage of my career, which started in 1990, Gulf War 1. …

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Double-early Happy Hour tomorrow: TOTALEnergies’ Jeanine Wai Wednesday 1st October 12pm ET

By Paul Sankey Published on September 30, 2025 at 1:19 PM

Happy Hour Jeanine Wai, former top-ranked  US Major Oil analyst, now IR with TOTAL, fresh from their analyst meeting that was held Monday this week, and subsequent investor feedback. Owing to Yom Kippur (after sundown tomorrow) we are bringing the call forward to 12pm ET Wednesday October 1st. That’s 5pm for me in London. Register here for Ms Wai, PREMIUM EVENT: https://sankeyresearch.com/conference/sankey-strategy-session-jeanine-wai-totalenergies-interest-form/ Like ENI, TOTALEnergies is planning to grow quite fast: 4% annual growth. And grow free …

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