Sunday You Can’t Kill it if it is Dead

By Paul Sankey Published on August 31, 2025 at 5:26 PM

Greetings: Barcap Energy Conference to start the year! Join the “NYC Energy Mafia” (we are truly very far from a Mafia but it sounds Crooklyn) for Drinks this Tuesday Sept 2nd 5pm Midtown right by the Sheraton. We have gathered a good crowd. RSVP if you want the address. I managed to blast the invite to ALL the Bloomberg Anonymous chat rooms (7 different chat rooms) on Thursday, and not to a single actual Bloomberg …

Sunday Thematic: What Happens if Oil Breaks $50/bbl?

By Paul Sankey Published on September 29, 2024 at 2:23 PM

What happens if oil breaks $50/bbl? From our April note earlier this year introducing our CUSP concept: “Forecasting agencies, trading houses, banks, analysts, and journalists, continue to be anchored in the redundant methodology for analyzing the global oil market, namely deriving the ‘Call On OPEC.’ We posit rather, that the oil market works today on “Call on US Supply.” We call it CUSP. The key balance in global oil market is “Call on US (Unconventional) …