Qatar LNG Shutdown: Global Energy Crisis (ex-US)

By Paul Sankey Published on March 4, 2026 at 10:03 PM

LNG superpower Qatar finds itself having been bombed by both Israel AND Iran within the past year. Now a gigantic oil and gas outage, and notably the unprecedented shutdown of the world’s single largest LNG facility, which is a multi-month outage, will roil markets far more than is currently being discounted in relatively muted energy and equity market responses. The world is sold out of LNG supply, and this gas would represent around 2mb/d of …

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Sunday Distilling US Distillate

By Paul Sankey Published on February 22, 2026 at 5:53 PM

Pondering the potential disaster of the incoming blizzard that has started here. Our Monday JFK flight to London at 9am… Cancelled First world problem Some 80% of the world’s population has never taken a plane. As of 4pm snow barely an inch ~ This note is a bullish US Distillate note. Strong demand, flat supply. Bullish complex refiners such as Valero, Marathon Petroleum and PSX, but the rising tide lifts all US refining boats, assuming …

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Sunday Cold Digits, Digital Heat

By Paul Sankey Published on January 25, 2026 at 4:27 PM

Greetings, Presumably you have power, if you are reading this. Good for you. I bought an emergency power pack yesterday: “Anker Portable Power Station SOLIX C300, 288Wh LiFePO4 Battery, 300W (600W Surge) 140W Two-Way Fast Charging, for Outdoor Camping, Traveling, and Emergencies (Solar Panel Optional)” so we should avoid an outage. Or get a three day outage that renders that wee power block absurdly under-sized. It cannot run a heater, for example, you need 1,000W …

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