Royal Dutch / Shell: You Can Rely on Wael

By Paul Sankey Published on March 26, 2025 at 8:57 PM

Before he hit the podium at the Shell 2025 analyst meeting yesterday, I had a nice and very humorous chat with CEO Wael Sawan about being part of a group of stealth-Canadians – with Murray Auchincloss the CEO of BP and Greg Ebel the CEO of Enbridge – who had hockey jerseys under their suits in the Trump Oil Executive White House summit last week. Evidently they were all at one end of the table …

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Sunday Thematic: What Happens if Oil Breaks $50/bbl?

By Paul Sankey Published on September 29, 2024 at 2:23 PM

What happens if oil breaks $50/bbl? From our April note earlier this year introducing our CUSP concept: “Forecasting agencies, trading houses, banks, analysts, and journalists, continue to be anchored in the redundant methodology for analyzing the global oil market, namely deriving the ‘Call On OPEC.’ We posit rather, that the oil market works today on “Call on US Supply.” We call it CUSP. The key balance in global oil market is “Call on US (Unconventional) …

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Sunday Kingdoms and Princesses

By Paul Sankey Published on June 2, 2024 at 1:55 PM

Summer Greetings, Mexico and India elections culminate today in one of the busiest democratic years in history – the greatest in terms of number of voters. Incredible positive really. Violence in emerging markets/ Mexico and the limits on Indian growth because of democracy are two mega-themes. People want to live in Fascist States? Former case, we are expecting a major global leader assassination or deposal; we can only speculate on who and what impact in …

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