Thematic: China-US in the Age of Hormuz

By Paul Sankey Published on May 15, 2026 at 12:07 AM

Please find attached our mid-Trump-Xi note, that attempts to cover the arc of the China energy challenge in the Age of Hormuz, mid-summit. History in the making. Hope you enjoy reading it as much as I enjoyed writing it. Paul Morelia, Michoacán, Mexico, 5/14/26

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Sunday If it Wasn’t for Bad Luck…

By Paul Sankey Published on March 29, 2026 at 8:19 PM

Greetings, The situation in Gulf War III is actually normalizing. The problem however, is that the “new normal” is total Iranian control of both the Strait of Hormuz, and likely the Bab El Mandeb. There is increasing recognition that with Netanyahu strengthened in Israeli domestic politics by Gulf War III (war approval is ~85%), and President Trump weakened — facing a 59% overall disapproval rating and 64% disapproval on his handling of the conflict—the main …

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Forty Minutes of Frank Kelly – Zoom Recording

By Paul Sankey Published on March 13, 2026 at 11:25 AM

Link to Frank Kelly Happy Hour yesterday, quite a few client questions. The biggest question Frank was getting on the road marketing before the call? This is all related to Epstein, right? No plan, no military solution, no end in sight. Major focus as we highlighted yesterday on China Xi meeting Trump 31st March. Bessent was apparently meeting the Chinese in Europe yesterday. https://analysthub.zoom.us/rec/share/ns5qhv5Q6IdgDAGX6A0OAldpM6wAfbdNbhzbEKDOrYIOgCNoWfAatLeG-RHKqebq.vQuxUSl5WKR5iIWR

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