Oh! Canada Tariffs? We barely knew them…

By Paul Sankey Published on February 1, 2025 at 3:02 PM

Who wins from Canada/Mexico oil tariffs? For sure we think consumers lose from higher pump prices given higher cost Canadian crude particularly in the US MidCon. Whether the oil tariff is +25% or +10% matters, as that will be the likely impact on Mid-Con pump prices. Short term winners, complex Gulf Coast refiners such as ExxonMobil, Valero, and Marathon Petroleum, although the latter is a loser in Mid-Con refining, as is Phillips 66 which also …

Read More

Sunday Blizzards, Buzzards and Buzzwords

By Paul Sankey Published on January 26, 2025 at 4:38 PM

A short catch up note today, struggling to see through the blizzard of wood chippings flying out of Washington DC: smoke, flames, feathers, shards of ice … in fact the blizzards and smoke are veritably across the whole USA, as President Trump seems to be everywhere, and making speeches everywhere, with regular but subject-scattered commentary, at-times with wild implications. And that was Week One. Gone are the days of Joe Biden making “no comment” or …

Read More

Morning oh Canada! Buy MEG?

By Paul Sankey Published on January 22, 2025 at 10:06 AM

Hybrid bonus Refining Conference/E&P Session tomorrow Thursday 4PM, leading private equity and refining executive: Jeff A. Stevens. Jeff was a stalwart of the Sankey Refining conference back when he was CEO of Western Refining, which was ultimately sold to Greg Goff’s Tesoro for $6bn in 2017. Subsequently he built and just sold a major Permian private E&P player, Franklin Mountain. He has fascinating insight to US oil investment. Coterra Announces Accretive Permian Basin Acquisitions November …

Read More