Sunday Whistling Past

By Paul Sankey Published on May 3, 2026 at 4:02 PM

Greetings, Refiners are running at max capacity, and oil prices are finding a Hormuz blockage hierarchy. Excess profits are accruing to oil producers, US refiners, and shipping companies. Front page of USA Today, Daily Mail, nothing on Hormuz. I scrolled all the way down on the NY Post – not one story on Hormuz today. While the oil analysts get frantic, the NASDAQ hit a record high, and the President’s most important advisor, Mr Market, …

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Sunday Upside Down Under

By Paul Sankey Published on April 12, 2026 at 8:24 PM

Good day, Yesterday I found myself transported into a personal Gulf War moment. I was examining the extensive damage to my large air condenser unit, a major, brand new piece of infrastructure, just two years old. It had been hit directly from above by a 700lb incoming projectile. Direct hit to the top, wrecked. I had a flash the Qatar desert, considering engineers inspecting damage, must feel like this. The unit was obviously a write …

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Sunday Thematic Woodside: Stateside

By Paul Sankey Published on May 18, 2025 at 2:30 PM

This Sunday note is primarily further to Woodside. We had dinner with Graham Tiver, Woodside CFO, last Tuesday evening. ~ Right now we are focusing on thematic research, because there ain’t no point in chasing this market day-to-day. With that said, to now comment very briefly on markets, we had Torsten Slok on Happy Hour Thursday, so we are covered on macro. We emailed you his slides. Every indicator with the possible exception of US …

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