Paul Sankey, the
widely-followed oil analyst who was first to call for negative oil prices when
COVID began impacting world markets, started his own research
firm Sankey Research in the depths of COVID, June 2020. An independent research company,
not a broker-dealer, Sankey’s independence has allowed him free voice,
unconstrained by typical Wall St limitations, such as on stocks which he does
not cover, on government policy, and notably on China.
Among
other recognized calls, Sankey in the past tagged premium oil company
EOG “The Apple of Oil”, ExxonMobil “The Big Unit”, pushed “The Diamond Age of
Refining” over the past decade for US refiners, and has called for “The
Renaissance” in US Exploration and Production in terms of companies reducing
growth, reducing debt, and increasing cash return to shareholders. He has
also styled himself an “analyst as activist” and heavily covered controversies
such as Chevron vs Oxy for Anadarko, and most recently the Engine #1
battle for ExxonMobil’s board. His note “Chevron for ExxonMobil” at Sankey
Research was subsequently shown by the WSJ to be written in fact, just when
Chevron and ExxonMobil considered a merger in 2020. His CNBC pair trades have
become widely followed, starting with “Long XOM Short AAPL” totally against
consensus in August 2020, and most recently in early January 2022 “Long
Marathon Petrolelum, Short Rivian” that has returned +50% vs the S&P500
-10% since he made it.
Sankey
started covering oil in 1990 out of Manchester University, joining the IEA in
Paris, with subsequent stints at Wood Mackenzie, Deutsche Bank, Wolfe Research,
and most recently Mizuho. He has ranked consistently highly or #1 in many
investor surveys since his arrival on Wall Street in 2004; and was ranked #1 ii for
three straight years at bulge bracket DB before joining boutique Wolfe Research
as their 60th employee. He was also
the 60th employee at Wood Mackenzie. Both companies have
subsequently grown exponentially since those formative days.