Sunday Mexico, Pemex, and the Destruction of Multiples

By Paul Sankey Published on May 25, 2025 at 12:52 PM

Happy Memorial Day weekend, We’ve talked about the vicious thugs that came back to the neighborhood. Hanging around in a sinister mob, scowling at observers, never look them in the eye, they are genuinely violent and dangerous. They are, the Bond Vigilantes. Funny thing is, I’m terrified of them too, but I look at long term interest rates and think “Rates are not THAT high”. Maybe that is what terrifies me. Below, yields since 1970. …

Read More

Sunday Thematic Woodside: Stateside

By Paul Sankey Published on May 18, 2025 at 2:30 PM

This Sunday note is primarily further to Woodside. We had dinner with Graham Tiver, Woodside CFO, last Tuesday evening. ~ Right now we are focusing on thematic research, because there ain’t no point in chasing this market day-to-day. With that said, to now comment very briefly on markets, we had Torsten Slok on Happy Hour Thursday, so we are covered on macro. We emailed you his slides. Every indicator with the possible exception of US …

Read More

Chevron, Valero, Venture Global: Wintry Mix

By Paul Sankey Published on February 6, 2025 at 10:34 AM

Freezing winter slush day, very on-brand early February here in Brooklyn Heights. Freezing wet mix, snowy rain settling as sloppy snow. Cold. Black and white; grey. Time for Happy Hour! TONIGHT Happy Hour Zoom 4pm ET Jake Spiering of Chevron Another timely guest, after we did Hess and Jay Wilson last week. Jake is a terrific spokesman/investor relations for Chevron, market cap $275bn, $31.5bn of cashflow from operations in 2024, $15bn capex, production 3.33 mboe/d …

Read More