Sunday: Letter to a Mid-Cap US Oil CEO

By Paul Sankey Published on September 21, 2025 at 5:46 PM

The world seeming began to turn with a couple of comments I was making last week “Why is China storing so much oil?” that was originally included in last week’s note on global LNG over-supply, but was then saved for this week. Sure enough, Javier Blas went after the question directly in a column on Wednesday: “Why is China Stockpiling So Much Surplus Oil?” Adding to the Zeitgeist shift on oil – Peak Oil Supply …

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Qatar, the Coming LNG Tsunami, and the Paradox of US LNG Gas Pricing

By Paul Sankey Published on September 14, 2025 at 7:35 PM

Refining margins are doing well as we enter the bearish period for oil prices, with Russian refining and sanctions impact visible in Middle East oil prices vs Atlantic Basin (Brent-Dubai spread) and tanker rates (soaring). Phone a friend… I asked shipping guru (former Morgan Stanley #1 ranked tanker and oilfield service analyst) Ole Slorer why tanker rates are soaring? “OPEC” he replied, keeping it simple. More barrels getting sucked into Asia, particularly, it would seem, …

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BP: Sticks into Bumerangues

By Paul Sankey Published on August 6, 2025 at 12:14 PM

We are counting barrels on Happy Hour tomorrow at 4pm ET, with Rory Johnson, Commodity Context. Premium Event: https://sankeyresearch.com/conference/sankey-strategy-session-rory-johnston-interest-form/ ~ BP are back! We are absolutely delighted for BP Exploration, on an accelerating roll, what terrific news of their massive Brazil discovery announced yesterday. This is exactly what BP needed, a major step in re-setting the company image. A welcome return to what we oil analysts love to talk about, “elephant” discoveries, development timelines, so …

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