US Oil Civitas: Pay to Play

By Paul Sankey Published on May 4, 2024 at 2:03 PM

The best E&P earnings performance at the 2/3 mark through reporting season gets a deep dive. Source: Bloomberg, Sankey Research Civitas is the company that sparked our Heavyweights thematic note of 2023. A living, breathing case study in our Heavyweight thesis that bigger is better in energy today. We debated timing a note on CIVI – publish in front of the earnings print last week (so before CIVI reported after the market Thursday) or publish …

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FTC approves ExxonMobil-Pioneer deal… except that guy: WSJ

By Paul Sankey Published on May 1, 2024 at 6:23 PM

First the shock news… FTC to approve XOM-PXD deal. Then the condition: Pioneer CEO Scott Sheffield cannot join ExxonMobil’s board because of anti-competitive collusion with OPEC. All this is as reported by the Wall Street Journal this evening. Knee jerk first thoughts: Very first thought? You have to suppress a wry smile. Imagine the weeping and wailing at ExxonMobil’s “God Pod” management floors at this loss; get the Pioneer acreage, but not Scott Sheffield. Gosh darn …

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BP: the Camel and the Horse

By Paul Sankey Published on April 6, 2024 at 2:38 PM

In this note we consider BP’s position in BPX, its US onshore play, in the context of the overall investment case for BP. Source: BP The following thoughts emerged, embracing multiple metaphors: “A camel is a horse designed by a committee”. BP seems designed by committee. It is a jack of all trades, where it should be the master of one. What is the elevator pitch for buying a stock? BP takes a trans-continental train …

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