Oil Earnings Results Post-Performance FWIW

By Paul Sankey Published on April 20, 2024 at 10:16 AM

A major client liked the chart we published last week, highlighting that Schlumberger has a pattern of under-performing quarterly earnings reports. Quod Errat Demonstrandum, as SLB under-performed on its results yesterday, despite a headline beat. All you can analyse is the margins, and guidance outlook change. They came in neutral to mildly negative on a stock that is relatively expensive. SLB was down -2.14% in a tape which saw the mighty energy sector XLE power …

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Sunday Iraq and Roll

By Paul Sankey Published on April 7, 2024 at 5:02 PM

We sent you a theme note on BP & BPX yesterday, which was quite sad, remembering the John Browne Sun King glory days. In fact “harsh but fair” was feedback from one US E&P CEO. But as I have said many times, “if you ever feel sorry for an oil CEO, short the stock.” What should BP do? Get into Namibia. Buy a Gulf of Mexico deepwater player, but first cut out of transition investment; …

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Devon Energy: Stop! Unleash the FANG Within…

By Paul Sankey Published on February 10, 2024 at 11:23 AM

Never Let a Good Crisis Go To Waste There was a groan went up at Sankey Research at this week’s Reuters report that Devon was in talks to acquire Enerplus Corp (ERF). Why? The news broke as we were completing this note, which argues exactly the OPPOSITE strategy for Devon, than buying a company in the Bakken. We think they should SELLL the Bakken. And more besides, and we outline that herein. We agree DVN …

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