By Paul Sankey
Published on April 7, 2024 at 5:02 PM
We sent you a theme note on BP & BPX yesterday, which was quite sad, remembering the John Browne Sun King glory days. In fact “harsh but fair” was feedback from one US E&P CEO. But as I have said many times, “if you ever feel sorry for an oil CEO, short the stock.” What should BP do? Get into Namibia. Buy a Gulf of Mexico deepwater player, but first cut out of transition investment; …
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By Paul Sankey
Published on February 29, 2024 at 9:03 AM
Market backdrop: our argument that low US refining utilisation this month (Feb 2024) would tend to pressure crude prices, tighten product inventories, and raise product prices, is not working at all, leading us to demand concerns. Refiners have been weak accordingly, even if background GDP data and better than expected China numbers suggest a good year for refiners. It’s not all bad news: crude oil prices are acting well. Generally with seasonality, tough January weather …
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By Paul Sankey
Published on February 10, 2024 at 11:23 AM
Never Let a Good Crisis Go To Waste There was a groan went up at Sankey Research at this week’s Reuters report that Devon was in talks to acquire Enerplus Corp (ERF). Why? The news broke as we were completing this note, which argues exactly the OPPOSITE strategy for Devon, than buying a company in the Bakken. We think they should SELLL the Bakken. And more besides, and we outline that herein. We agree DVN …
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