Sunday Frankly, Mr Sankey

By Paul Sankey Published on November 2, 2025 at 8:17 PM

My Dear Correspondent, I was out all night last night. But to be clear, this nuit blanche, was not the “Do you fancy a swift half after work?” turning into an twelve hour bender, to return laughing uncontrollably as day breaks, having lost your tie and keys, loudly trying not to wake an incandescent wife. No sir, what would I know about that anyway? In fact, here in Michoacan, Mexico, we did a tour of …

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HyperScalers vs Big Oils Capex Intensity

By Paul Sankey Published on October 28, 2025 at 2:23 PM

Torsten Slok, Chief Economist Apollo, published this chart Monday, we are all familiar with the theme. Source: Torsten Slok, Apollo Considering the scale “Capex Share of Operating Cashflow %” made me wonder, and caused me to recreate the chart but add the Big Oils. Given Torsten lists five Hyperscalers, I simply used five historic mega-oils, ExxonMobil, Chevron, Shell, TOTAL, and BP. Result: Source: Bloomberg, Sankey Research That certainly changes the perspective, and obviously becomes a …

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Sunday Russia & Tech, Lovers & Losers… Rigged

By Paul Sankey Published on February 9, 2025 at 6:06 PM

With so much macro noise, veritable banging and crashing, headlines emanating from The White House, it is also notable how much micro, company-specific news, we are getting. Stock price divergence has been high to start the year, for example among the Monopoly 7 (Amazon, Apple, Alphabet, Microsoft, Meta, Tesla, Nvidia). In my memory of the “Monopoly 7”, we have never seen one each of the Mag 7 in each performance quadrant on the x-plot below. …

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