Oh! Canada Tariffs? We barely knew them…

By Paul Sankey Published on February 1, 2025 at 3:02 PM

Who wins from Canada/Mexico oil tariffs? For sure we think consumers lose from higher pump prices given higher cost Canadian crude particularly in the US MidCon. Whether the oil tariff is +25% or +10% matters, as that will be the likely impact on Mid-Con pump prices. Short term winners, complex Gulf Coast refiners such as ExxonMobil, Valero, and Marathon Petroleum, although the latter is a loser in Mid-Con refining, as is Phillips 66 which also …

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Morning oh Canada! Buy MEG?

By Paul Sankey Published on January 22, 2025 at 10:06 AM

Hybrid bonus Refining Conference/E&P Session tomorrow Thursday 4PM, leading private equity and refining executive: Jeff A. Stevens. Jeff was a stalwart of the Sankey Refining conference back when he was CEO of Western Refining, which was ultimately sold to Greg Goff’s Tesoro for $6bn in 2017. Subsequently he built and just sold a major Permian private E&P player, Franklin Mountain. He has fascinating insight to US oil investment. Coterra Announces Accretive Permian Basin Acquisitions November …

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Morning Panama Vacations vs Canadian Tariffs

By Paul Sankey Published on January 16, 2025 at 10:18 AM

Continuing on from our successful refining conference (Days 1 & 2) we are pedal-to-the-metal on oil markets, with an update required for the latest balances, which have been very dynamic over the past month. Winter, shadow fleet, China, tonight on Happy Hour bring on the barrel counter! Jan Stuart, Global Oil & Gas Economist: Johannes serves as global energy strategist at Piper Sandler. A self-described oil-geek, Stuart and his team take a micro-fundamentals approach to …

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