Google -$85bn vs ExxonMobil +$25bn; Happy Hour starting NOW with Paul Cheng

By Paul Sankey Published on June 4, 2026 at 3:56 PM

Google vs ExxonMobil cash return A client emailed this morning regarding yesterday’s note. We opened with a couple of bullets: “And when they write the history of the AI bubble 2022-2027, the issuance by Google of $85bn of stock in early June 2026 will be one red line that was crossed.” He stated: “I cannot believe more people aren’t paying attention to this. This is SO obviously “the sign”. Yesterday listening to Bloomberg Surveillance, my …

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HyperScalers vs Big Oils Capex Intensity

By Paul Sankey Published on October 28, 2025 at 2:23 PM

Torsten Slok, Chief Economist Apollo, published this chart Monday, we are all familiar with the theme. Source: Torsten Slok, Apollo Considering the scale “Capex Share of Operating Cashflow %” made me wonder, and caused me to recreate the chart but add the Big Oils. Given Torsten lists five Hyperscalers, I simply used five historic mega-oils, ExxonMobil, Chevron, Shell, TOTAL, and BP. Result: Source: Bloomberg, Sankey Research That certainly changes the perspective, and obviously becomes a …

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Interesting EPS: Not One, but Two OSX Names to Like, and More

By Paul Sankey Published on July 24, 2025 at 5:19 PM

There’s an oilfield service stock we like! FTI. There is an almost-oilfield service stock we like: Synopsis Energy Infrastructure. Other results Valero, great company. Enphase, single biggest loser from Trump II – painful place to be, we are not far off six months in, to four years. We do a little turn on Darling, after Valero, below, and a couple of others at the end, called things like Tesla and Google. So, some very interesting …

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