Sunday Distilling US Distillate

By Paul Sankey Published on February 22, 2026 at 5:53 PM

Pondering the potential disaster of the incoming blizzard that has started here. Our Monday JFK flight to London at 9am… Cancelled First world problem Some 80% of the world’s population has never taken a plane. As of 4pm snow barely an inch ~ This note is a bullish US Distillate note. Strong demand, flat supply. Bullish complex refiners such as Valero, Marathon Petroleum and PSX, but the rising tide lifts all US refining boats, assuming …

Understanding PJM: Political Storms

By Paul Sankey Published on January 24, 2026 at 1:56 PM

We wrote to you regarding the world’s largest traded power market covering the world’s biggest data center cluster, Pennsylvania-Jersey-Maryland (PJM) capacity auction in mid-2025. Unsurprisingly, although sidelined by mega-headlines such as Venezuela, Iran, Greenland and Davos, there has been more controversy. And this massive ice storm is likely to further escalate the sense of crisis that is growing regarding PJM. Basically we forecast a PJM slow motion trainwreck, that will require crisis management. We predicted …