Morning Natural Gas: Cut Rigs Reap Rewards

By Paul Sankey Published on February 21, 2024 at 9:15 AM

Good news: Chesapeake is cutting activity in US natgas. In the “long cuts/short active” gas drillers pairs, we like propane-rich Antero long vs Short EQT who continue to keep activity high. EQT is supported by its hedging, which makes no sense to us: these financial instruments can be used to maintain cashflow, with no need to maintain activity. Generally, we do not like dry gas plays in 2024, but would favour Chesapeake with capex discipline,…

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Sunday Suddenly Presidents’ Day

By Paul Sankey Published on February 18, 2024 at 4:28 PM

Suddenly we are all bullish oils. Last week went well. Certainly it went well by oil’s atrocious recent standards vs the wider market. In fact, last week might just be a very bullish set up for the oils. But that statement depends a lot on NVDA results ahead. NVDA reports this week 21st February Wednesday after the market, going head-to-head with oil laggard APA, formerly Apache. We do not expect APA results to change the…

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Morning Comstock: Thelma, the Black Knight, & Forrest, bearish natgas

By Paul Sankey Published on February 15, 2024 at 10:03 AM

The market whisper is that natgas is heading to break the buck (<$1/mmbtu Henry Hub). Time to buy natgas? We are not switching stance until Comstock capitulates.  The company reported results and held its conference call yesterday. ~ ExxonMobil: the company risks Maduro vs Guyana as 1:10 risk where one is low. Clients are asking about Chevron’s delayed proxy too. CVX say the S-4 will be issued this quarter and “nothing recently in the news…

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