By Paul Sankey
Published on April 21, 2024 at 6:02 PM
Today, after a preamble, perhaps ramble, a rant, we talk about Namibia. It is clearly emerging as the next Guyana. What does that mean for the world? More market supply shift towards the Atlantic Basin, offsetting Russia, pressuring capital & quota discipline in the Middle East. Structurally adds to the death of Peak Oil Supply as a concept, if you missed the burial. Namibia can add incremental oil that pressures prices to the detriment of …
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By Paul Sankey
Published on April 20, 2024 at 10:16 AM
A major client liked the chart we published last week, highlighting that Schlumberger has a pattern of under-performing quarterly earnings reports. Quod Errat Demonstrandum, as SLB under-performed on its results yesterday, despite a headline beat. All you can analyse is the margins, and guidance outlook change. They came in neutral to mildly negative on a stock that is relatively expensive. SLB was down -2.14% in a tape which saw the mighty energy sector XLE power …
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By Paul Sankey
Published on April 7, 2024 at 5:02 PM
We sent you a theme note on BP & BPX yesterday, which was quite sad, remembering the John Browne Sun King glory days. In fact “harsh but fair” was feedback from one US E&P CEO. But as I have said many times, “if you ever feel sorry for an oil CEO, short the stock.” What should BP do? Get into Namibia. Buy a Gulf of Mexico deepwater player, but first cut out of transition investment; …
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