US E&P M&A: Gobbler’s Knob – Again

By Paul Sankey Published on June 1, 2024 at 12:27 PM

“That must mean we’re up here at Gobbler’s Knob, waiting for the forecast from the world’s most famous weatherman, Punxsutawney Phil.” Phil Connors (Bill Murray), Groundhog Day (1993) We are back to writing about E&P M&A … again. Our conclusions are broadly unchanged: Big companies are being incentivized by the market to take over the small, but with an evolution on the margin that finds asset quality now of equal importance to valuation; we are …

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OPEC, Happy Hour, One Day, Next Week

By Paul Sankey Published on May 30, 2024 at 10:38 AM

Focus OPEC for the next two Happy Hours. At 4pm today, this evening a quick check-in with Kathleen Kelley “OPEC Whisperer” into this weekend’s meeting. It’s not long since we did a full session with Kathleen, so this evening is a quick tyre-kick. Next week, going into much more depth on oil markets, we have barrel counting legend Mr Jan Stuart, energy market economist, and my first office-mate at my first post-college career job: we …

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Sunday Non-Plussed, OPEC+ and Rubber Chicken

By Paul Sankey Published on May 5, 2024 at 6:51 PM

Well personally, I feel like I got run over by Fed Chair Jay Powell last week, because I expected him to be hawkish, but he was dovish, simple as that. Guess there’s enough evidence of economic slowdown, for him to think that interest cuts are coming. CNBC May 1st 2024: Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said it was unlikely that the central bank’s next move will be a rate hike. The comment spurred a rally …

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