US Biofuels: Roll Me Over in the Clover

By Paul Sankey Published on June 21, 2025 at 12:54 PM

With the world watching the Straits of Hormuz, perhaps less on EU natgas prices squeezing on Israeli natgas and refining outages, little attention has been paid to major moves in US biofuel markets over the past couple of weeks. We got ya. This has just about nothing to do with global geopolitics, and everything to do with US domestic politics. We now have an increase in regulation from The Trump Administration, and yet more government …

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The Bottom is RIN, A Poison Pen Letter

By Paul Sankey Published on April 30, 2025 at 9:24 AM

Happy Hour this week, the authors of this note, Greg Bordelon & Paul Sankey, will discuss ethane, RINs, the model portfolio and last week in Calgary and California, in an open mic session. Date/Time – Thursday, May 1st ,4PM ET Guests – Paul Sankey & Greg Bordelon Registration Link –Click Here ~ What happens to local markets if you embargo imports? Keeping up our mini-theme of exploring the more arcane aspects of US oil, having covered a “Love Letter …

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Sunday Auto Armageddon & Peace with Iran

By Paul Sankey Published on April 13, 2025 at 4:14 PM

One of the recent Happy Hour lines that struck me, came from a Republican lobbyist who was a guest in the interim between Trump winning, and Trump being inaugurated. He repeated “tariffs” strongly, then followed up by saying that “During Trump 1, our firm had a track record of 85% success in getting an exemption on tariffs for our clients.” Hmmm. Sure enough, this weekend we have the “Tim Apple Tariff Exemption” whereby suddenly per …

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