By Paul Sankey
Published on June 21, 2025 at 12:54 PM
With the world watching the Straits of Hormuz, perhaps less on EU natgas prices squeezing on Israeli natgas and refining outages, little attention has been paid to major moves in US biofuel markets over the past couple of weeks. We got ya. This has just about nothing to do with global geopolitics, and everything to do with US domestic politics. We now have an increase in regulation from The Trump Administration, and yet more government …
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By Paul Sankey
Published on April 30, 2025 at 9:24 AM
Happy Hour this week, the authors of this note, Greg Bordelon & Paul Sankey, will discuss ethane, RINs, the model portfolio and last week in Calgary and California, in an open mic session. Date/Time – Thursday, May 1st ,4PM ET Guests – Paul Sankey & Greg Bordelon Registration Link –Click Here ~ What happens to local markets if you embargo imports? Keeping up our mini-theme of exploring the more arcane aspects of US oil, having covered a “Love Letter …
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By Paul Sankey
Published on August 14, 2024 at 9:49 AM
A focus note for you today, on Darling and the California Low Carbon Fuel Standard which has been an important factor in the weakness in West Coast refining margins, that is bleeding into wider refining margin weakness vs current refiner earnings estimates for Q3. We show in this note that California diesel is now 60% renewable, with attendant pressure on refining margins there, as gasoline demand has peaked, and 25% of vehicle sales are electric. …
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