By Paul Sankey
Published on April 16, 2025 at 10:04 AM
Happy Hour 4pm tomorrow we got us an engineer! Macro guru Michael Kao is well-known for Kaoboy Musings – on Substack and Kaos Theory. His twitter handle is UrbanKaoboy. In a crisis, we all become credit analysts. Michael is a stone-cold macro expert. Register Here: https://sankeyresearch.com/conference/sankey-strategy-session-michael-kao-urbankaoboy-interest-form/ Source: Toptradersunplugged.com ~ Here are a couple of charts I have been looking at, rather back of a beermat, pondering that the tide is half way out. The tide …
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By Paul Sankey
Published on April 13, 2025 at 4:14 PM
One of the recent Happy Hour lines that struck me, came from a Republican lobbyist who was a guest in the interim between Trump winning, and Trump being inaugurated. He repeated “tariffs” strongly, then followed up by saying that “During Trump 1, our firm had a track record of 85% success in getting an exemption on tariffs for our clients.” Hmmm. Sure enough, this weekend we have the “Tim Apple Tariff Exemption” whereby suddenly per …
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By Paul Sankey
Published on March 26, 2025 at 8:57 PM
Before he hit the podium at the Shell 2025 analyst meeting yesterday, I had a nice and very humorous chat with CEO Wael Sawan about being part of a group of stealth-Canadians – with Murray Auchincloss the CEO of BP and Greg Ebel the CEO of Enbridge – who had hockey jerseys under their suits in the Trump Oil Executive White House summit last week. Evidently they were all at one end of the table …
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