Refining Day 1: Hi ho, hi ho, …

By Paul Sankey Published on January 7, 2025 at 5:03 PM

Refining Conference Notes 1/6/25 The five independent refiner managements on our conference virtual chats were surprisingly upbeat given the abysmal refining margin back drop and upcoming challenging Q4 2024 results reports, that will follow on from challenged Q3s. Source: Bloomberg, Sankey Research Conclusion? These are all good managements with defensible strategies. Assuming they all remain safely run, and that’s a big assumption, but one that has been holding, they will tend to trade as a …

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Sunday Gloves On! Energy Conference Competition

By Paul Sankey Published on January 5, 2025 at 5:37 PM

One statistic really struck me from 2024, profoundly. It was from early November, attending the ADIPEC Conference in Abu Dhabi, the largest oil & gas conference in the world, held annually. The numbers: ADIPEC Oil & gas 2025: 180,000 attendees. A week later, at COP 29, there were ~90,000 attendees. There is an obvious observation to be made: media coverage. ADIPEC in no way generated 2x the media interest as COP29 (chart below). But just …

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When Results Become a “Yard Sale” $CVI $CRK $GEL

By Paul Sankey Published on November 1, 2024 at 7:33 AM

In the US suburbs, those Halloween avenues, a “yard sale” is an innocent family rite of passage where the garage is cleared, and in the excitement you try to dump as many of the kids grown-out-of toys. In our world, is the equivalent of a major oil company announcing yet another disposal target. But in skiing, a “yard sale” describes a level of wipe out so spectacular that gear is smashed off the skier, poles, …

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