Morning 1996 Called and We are Not Picking Up

By Paul Sankey Published on August 1, 2024 at 7:41 AM

Comstock (Natgas) Resource: They Don’t Get It, but first, the truly shocker news overnight. Chevron-XOM-Hess arbitration delayed to May 2025. We do NOT subscribe to the market chatter that the third arbitrator in the CVX-Hess-XOM dispute over Guyana is Lee Raymond in a fake moustache. Also we believe that reports that the independent arbitrator is Tony the Exxon Tiger, are false. But this ExxonMobil spoiling tactic is working a charm, from their standpoint of holding …

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Sunday Iraq and Roll

By Paul Sankey Published on April 7, 2024 at 5:02 PM

We sent you a theme note on BP & BPX yesterday, which was quite sad, remembering the John Browne Sun King glory days. In fact “harsh but fair” was feedback from one US E&P CEO. But as I have said many times, “if you ever feel sorry for an oil CEO, short the stock.” What should BP do? Get into Namibia. Buy a Gulf of Mexico deepwater player, but first cut out of transition investment; …

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Morning US Natgas Cuts, Holdovers, Spare Capacity, and Negative NAVs

By Paul Sankey Published on March 8, 2024 at 10:03 AM

Rounding out our series on the drama of US natural gas – the under-pinning of the global energy economy – we combine the latest news on gas rig cuts with 10K reserves filings to show a concerning picture for the US natural gas market and gassy equity valuations. Relatively, and long term, we like Antero on liquids-rich production, deep inventory and strong propane. Similarly Range (RRC) has the second highest NGL cut after Antero. We …

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