Morning Fog of WWIII

By Paul Sankey Published on January 7, 2026 at 9:53 AM

My 6am morning coffee run this morning was shrouded in a Dickensian fog, dark figures in dark coats, streetlights almost candle-weak. It was hard to not find that meaningful in today’s bewildering markets. The Fog of War (a great film, highly recommended, on Kennedy/Johnson Defense Secretary Robert McNamara). The first surprise was not the removal of Maduro and his wife, but the lack of positive momentum for María Corina Machado, who had appeared to be …

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Postcard from Calgary

By Paul Sankey Published on April 24, 2025 at 1:58 PM

Postponing today’s Happy Hour owing to a scheduling clash. (Dan Dreyfus CIO at Bornite) – he will be back soon, on a new Thursday. At the very least, next week Greg Bordelon and I will do a State of Union regarding my current trip to the Calgary and the West Coast, and his model portfolio which is weathering extremely well. Huge up days are not his thing, but overall, Greg is performing very well, where …

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Morning: Tide’s Half Way Out, Who’s Wearing Trunks?

By Paul Sankey Published on April 16, 2025 at 10:04 AM

Happy Hour 4pm tomorrow we got us an engineer! Macro guru Michael Kao is well-known for Kaoboy Musings – on Substack and Kaos Theory. His twitter handle is UrbanKaoboy. In a crisis, we all become credit analysts. Michael is a stone-cold macro expert. Register Here: https://sankeyresearch.com/conference/sankey-strategy-session-michael-kao-urbankaoboy-interest-form/ Source: Toptradersunplugged.com ~ Here are a couple of charts I have been looking at, rather back of a beermat, pondering that the tide is half way out. The tide …

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