By Paul Sankey
Published on February 1, 2025 at 3:02 PM
Who wins from Canada/Mexico oil tariffs? For sure we think consumers lose from higher pump prices given higher cost Canadian crude particularly in the US MidCon. Whether the oil tariff is +25% or +10% matters, as that will be the likely impact on Mid-Con pump prices. Short term winners, complex Gulf Coast refiners such as ExxonMobil, Valero, and Marathon Petroleum, although the latter is a loser in Mid-Con refining, as is Phillips 66 which also …
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By Paul Sankey
Published on January 16, 2025 at 10:18 AM
Continuing on from our successful refining conference (Days 1 & 2) we are pedal-to-the-metal on oil markets, with an update required for the latest balances, which have been very dynamic over the past month. Winter, shadow fleet, China, tonight on Happy Hour bring on the barrel counter! Jan Stuart, Global Oil & Gas Economist: Johannes serves as global energy strategist at Piper Sandler. A self-described oil-geek, Stuart and his team take a micro-fundamentals approach to …
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By Paul Sankey
Published on February 25, 2024 at 7:29 PM
Greetings, There is an embarrassing feeling about current equity markets, for us writing this note, a bit like hosting family lunch on the patio at the country club, while trying to ignore the spectacular naked celebrity gloriously sunbathing by the pool. To be less… conceptual: we got our answer to the question we posed last Sunday on NVDA earnings. ~ It’s hard to avoid staring but we pretend to focus on the slightly dry turkey …
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