By Paul Sankey
Published on April 24, 2025 at 1:58 PM
Postponing today’s Happy Hour owing to a scheduling clash. (Dan Dreyfus CIO at Bornite) – he will be back soon, on a new Thursday. At the very least, next week Greg Bordelon and I will do a State of Union regarding my current trip to the Calgary and the West Coast, and his model portfolio which is weathering extremely well. Huge up days are not his thing, but overall, Greg is performing very well, where …
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By Paul Sankey
Published on April 16, 2025 at 10:04 AM
Happy Hour 4pm tomorrow we got us an engineer! Macro guru Michael Kao is well-known for Kaoboy Musings – on Substack and Kaos Theory. His twitter handle is UrbanKaoboy. In a crisis, we all become credit analysts. Michael is a stone-cold macro expert. Register Here: https://sankeyresearch.com/conference/sankey-strategy-session-michael-kao-urbankaoboy-interest-form/ Source: Toptradersunplugged.com ~ Here are a couple of charts I have been looking at, rather back of a beermat, pondering that the tide is half way out. The tide …
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By Paul Sankey
Published on February 1, 2025 at 3:02 PM
Who wins from Canada/Mexico oil tariffs? For sure we think consumers lose from higher pump prices given higher cost Canadian crude particularly in the US MidCon. Whether the oil tariff is +25% or +10% matters, as that will be the likely impact on Mid-Con pump prices. Short term winners, complex Gulf Coast refiners such as ExxonMobil, Valero, and Marathon Petroleum, although the latter is a loser in Mid-Con refining, as is Phillips 66 which also …
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