US Oil Civitas: Pay to Play

By Paul Sankey Published on May 4, 2024 at 2:03 PM

The best E&P earnings performance at the 2/3 mark through reporting season gets a deep dive. Source: Bloomberg, Sankey Research Civitas is the company that sparked our Heavyweights thematic note of 2023. A living, breathing case study in our Heavyweight thesis that bigger is better in energy today. We debated timing a note on CIVI – publish in front of the earnings print last week (so before CIVI reported after the market Thursday) or publish …

Read More

Ten Companies, Ten Charts, Ten Recommendations

By Paul Sankey Published on February 29, 2024 at 9:03 AM

Market backdrop: our argument that low US refining utilisation this month (Feb 2024) would tend to pressure crude prices, tighten product inventories, and raise product prices, is not working at all, leading us to demand concerns. Refiners have been weak accordingly, even if background GDP data and better than expected China numbers suggest a good year for refiners. It’s not all bad news: crude oil prices are acting well. Generally with seasonality, tough January weather …

Read More

Permian Resources ($PR): Love Letter to Midland

By Paul Sankey Published on January 16, 2024 at 4:48 PM

The hottest company in the Permian right now, and our TOP PICK for 2023 in US Exploration and Production (E&P), is barely known on Wall Street, nay, barely known outside their home city of Midland, West Texas. PERMIAN RESOURCES ($PR) is a $10B market capitalization, $14B enterprise value (EV) company producing some 300 thousand barrels of oil equivalent per day (kboe/d) of which just under half is oil. Management has an excellent reputation among those …

Read More