Morning: Tide’s Half Way Out, Who’s Wearing Trunks?

By Paul Sankey Published on April 16, 2025 at 10:04 AM

Happy Hour 4pm tomorrow we got us an engineer! Macro guru Michael Kao is well-known for Kaoboy Musings – on Substack and Kaos Theory. His twitter handle is UrbanKaoboy. In a crisis, we all become credit analysts. Michael is a stone-cold macro expert. Register Here: https://sankeyresearch.com/conference/sankey-strategy-session-michael-kao-urbankaoboy-interest-form/ Source: Toptradersunplugged.com ~ Here are a couple of charts I have been looking at, rather back of a beermat, pondering that the tide is half way out. The tide …

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US Oil Civitas: Pay to Play

By Paul Sankey Published on May 4, 2024 at 2:03 PM

The best E&P earnings performance at the 2/3 mark through reporting season gets a deep dive. Source: Bloomberg, Sankey Research Civitas is the company that sparked our Heavyweights thematic note of 2023. A living, breathing case study in our Heavyweight thesis that bigger is better in energy today. We debated timing a note on CIVI – publish in front of the earnings print last week (so before CIVI reported after the market Thursday) or publish …

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Permian Resources ($PR): Love Letter to Midland

By Paul Sankey Published on January 16, 2024 at 4:48 PM

The hottest company in the Permian right now, and our TOP PICK for 2023 in US Exploration and Production (E&P), is barely known on Wall Street, nay, barely known outside their home city of Midland, West Texas. PERMIAN RESOURCES ($PR) is a $10B market capitalization, $14B enterprise value (EV) company producing some 300 thousand barrels of oil equivalent per day (kboe/d) of which just under half is oil. Management has an excellent reputation among those …

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