Sunday Monroe and other Doctrines

By Paul Sankey Published on January 12, 2025 at 5:45 PM

One mega-policy that is emerging for Trump II is an old classic: The Monroe Doctrine. In this note we run through an argument that says, “truly anything can happen with Trump and foreign policy.” Pinball market. The key uncertainty is China, where economic weakness in China suggests Trump holds the power Shipping stocks ripping imply Russia-Ukraine will be a protracted negotiation; we see Biden tightening shadow fleet sanctions as strengthening Trump’s and Saudi’s hands; and …

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Bullish 2050 Natgas and Kinder Chocolate

By Paul Sankey Published on December 17, 2024 at 8:58 AM

Meeting Kinder Morgan last week in Houston, with my old mate, IR and corporate VP Peter Staples (my other old mate CEO Kim Dang was in NY for a couple of conferences) I perused the just-released guidance for 2025 and made the following comment: “So KMI stock is on 22x price-earnings, based on your guidance for next year of $1.27 EPS. Your dividend yield is down towards 4% (stock has ripped), and you just announced …

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Sunday Zuck and Roll

By Paul Sankey Published on May 26, 2024 at 12:49 PM

Memorial Day weekend, a legendary moment of the great American year. “Summer 2024”. Man, it has a nice ring to it. I like round numbers, prime numbers, cool numbers, and 2024 has a great ring – so far. Best we can say, is It is unlikely to turn into 2020, we got past March. Market at all-time highs, new generation investment in AI, we spiral forward. With effectively zero unemployment, these are the times when …

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