Presumption? Hormuz, TOTALEnergies & Shell

By Paul Sankey Published on September 29, 2026 at 10:07 AM

Important note: last 24 hours we may see the beginning of a trend of weaker oil prices yet higher Treasury yields. This would be a major and concerning break of the trend of the last month of almost 1:1 postive correlation between oil prices and Treasury yields. The feeling of “something is going to break” indicator is getting to boiling point. But remember, a watched kettle never boils. ~ NFI: I did NOT get invited …

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Sunday Existential TOTAL Cinema

By Paul Sankey Published on September 27, 2026 at 6:43 PM

This morning getting coffee was a wet and blustery experience. That said, my backyard (surrounded by buildings) weather station records 0.6” rain and 20mph wind peak gust (JFK recorded a 56mph gust, but flights basically fine). Nor’Easter fake news? It is more lively out on the Brooklyn Heights Promenade for sure, and the tide is lapping as high as I have seen it along the shore in Brooklyn Bridge Park. The main observation is that …

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You what?!? Magnolia dilutes into M&A; COP enters Iraq

By Paul Sankey Published on July 21, 2026 at 1:55 PM

It was said that the late, great oil legend Steve Chazen, former CEO and Chairman of Oxy and then founder of Magnolia Oil & Gas, had one of three responses to emails: “Yes”, “No” and “Have you lost your mind?” Two recent announcements had us questioning which reply to send. HOUSTON–(BUSINESS WIRE)–Jul. 17, 2026– ConocoPhillips (NYSE: COP) today announced it has agreed to terms with bp to acquire a 42% interest in BP Energy Company …

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