Morning Career Moments

By Paul Sankey Published on April 25, 2024 at 10:14 AM

Today – yesterday’s DOE data. Hess earnings commentary: “Good morning.  HES 1Q results are out … and are not bad if I do say so!” Valero out: slight beat. NESTE terrible, stock getting crushed. FTI really good results supporting our long offshore short onshore thesis. Antero OK ~ THIS AFTERNOON 4PM ET Mark Rossano and Fernando Valle of G6 private equity are on Happy Hour. Both are outstanding on the entire energy complex from rig …

Read More

Sunday Guyana, the Sequel: Namibia

By Paul Sankey Published on April 21, 2024 at 6:02 PM

Today, after a preamble, perhaps ramble, a rant, we talk about Namibia. It is clearly emerging as the next Guyana. What does that mean for the world? More market supply shift towards the Atlantic Basin, offsetting Russia, pressuring capital & quota discipline in the Middle East. Structurally adds to the death of Peak Oil Supply as a concept, if you missed the burial. Namibia can add incremental oil that pressures prices to the detriment of …

Read More

Sunday Iraq and Roll

By Paul Sankey Published on April 7, 2024 at 5:02 PM

We sent you a theme note on BP & BPX yesterday, which was quite sad, remembering the John Browne Sun King glory days. In fact “harsh but fair” was feedback from one US E&P CEO. But as I have said many times, “if you ever feel sorry for an oil CEO, short the stock.” What should BP do? Get into Namibia. Buy a Gulf of Mexico deepwater player, but first cut out of transition investment; …

Read More