Sunday Iraq and Roll

By Paul Sankey Published on April 7, 2024 at 5:02 PM

We sent you a theme note on BP & BPX yesterday, which was quite sad, remembering the John Browne Sun King glory days. In fact “harsh but fair” was feedback from one US E&P CEO. But as I have said many times, “if you ever feel sorry for an oil CEO, short the stock.” What should BP do? Get into Namibia. Buy a Gulf of Mexico deepwater player, but first cut out of transition investment; …

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CERA Week – the best XOM vs CVX-HES Guyana theory.

By Paul Sankey Published on March 20, 2024 at 8:55 AM

CERA Week key interest – certainly among the gaggle of merger arbitrage clients that attended this week – was for Chevron, Hess, and ExxonMobil, not least with XOM suddenly releasing a Guyana exploration 8K after the market Friday into the conference open, where Day 1 the star plenary speaker was ExxonMobil CEO Darren Woods. He said a lot, directly pertaining to Guyana, so the 8K was clearly related. One key line was “we are not …

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Letter From Oaxaca

By Paul Sankey Published on March 10, 2024 at 6:26 PM

Greetings from the beach, To avoid repetition, let’s not talk about market all-time highs, concentration, and the N-stock. Let’s talk about Mesoamerican history-based opportunities in Mexican real estate. Because I’m in Porto Escondido, State of Oaxaca, Mexico. Photo above. Oaxaca State, capital Oaxaca City, on the southwest Pacific coast, is known as a poor state, with the most indigenous (pre-Hispanic) population, with remarkable history and historic sites, and world famous gastronomy. In this note we …

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