Fedex, Fitbits, and Tariffing Temu

By Paul Sankey Published on June 25, 2025 at 12:24 PM

Noted WSJ (typically the most reliable M&A source: “Shell in early talks to acquire BP,” Shell were in early talks to acquire BP in 2005, so good luck with that. BP needs a solution though, no question. We note that the Chairman of Shell Sir Andrew Mackenzie had dealings with activist Elliott Management when he was CEO of BHP, that is now involved with BP, at least involved according to press reports. ~ COVID changed …

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Sunday Russia & Tech, Lovers & Losers… Rigged

By Paul Sankey Published on February 9, 2025 at 6:06 PM

With so much macro noise, veritable banging and crashing, headlines emanating from The White House, it is also notable how much micro, company-specific news, we are getting. Stock price divergence has been high to start the year, for example among the Monopoly 7 (Amazon, Apple, Alphabet, Microsoft, Meta, Tesla, Nvidia). In my memory of the “Monopoly 7”, we have never seen one each of the Mag 7 in each performance quadrant on the x-plot below. …

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Sunday Satya

By Paul Sankey Published on February 4, 2024 at 6:07 PM

Greetings, Having started last week upbeat on Big Oil results vs the market, expounded in this note last Sunday, my mood darkened throughout the week, culminating in depressed mood by Friday. Why? This oil sector’s performance vs the market. On Friday, with me optimistic on an earnings beat, ExxonMobil released its Q4 2023 results with a beat, right enough, and announced Q4 capex above Q3’s guidance. You can imagine the groan from Sankey Research HQ, …

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